Of Voodoo polls and more substantial ones.

One should not put too much faith in Voodoo polls on the internet like this one, however much amusement a poll may cause to politicians from the other party or who come off better. The reason for posting this is the astute comment underneath from Pete Forrest.













Yes, he's right. The current PM and government always gets the most flak.

Nevertheless, for a Prime Minister's support to drop so catastrophically six months after winning the largest parliamentary majority in UK political history does represent quite an enormous achievement in hacking people off.

Much more robust and properly conducted polling also finds an extreme drop in Labour's popularity, such as the YouGov poll which found that "Labour crashes to embarrassing -45% approval rating."

"Even Labour voters are now divided on the government they elected, with 38% having a negative view and 34% a positive one," said YouGov.

Sir Keir's approval rating has also fallen to a record low of -41%, with two-thirds of Britons holding a negative view of the Prime Minister.

Any one individual poll has a margin of error, but when all the polls, not just Voodoo ones on X but major surveys by different serious pollsters to voodoo polls are all telling you of a shift in the same direction, it's probably real.

Just before the end of last year a poll in the Sunday Times based on the views of 11,000 voters found that if an election were held now, Labour would lose nearly 200 seats with Angela Rayner and Yvette Cooper among those who would lose their seats.

That poll by More in Common found that an election now would produce a hung parliament with the following numbers of MPs:

  • Labour: 228 seats – down from 412
  • Conservatives: 222 seats – up from 121
  • Reform UK: 72 seats – up from 5
  • Liberal Democrats: 58 seats – down from 72
  • Scottish National Party: 37 seats – up from 9
  • Independent: 8 seats – up from 6
  • Plaid Cymru: 4 seats – holding from 4
  • Green Party: 2 seats – down from 4
None of this means that when the next election finally comes this is what will actually happen as there is a lot of water to flow under the bridge yet. However, it's a pretty clear sign that voters are cross with the government. And that's hardly surprising as they have good reason to be.

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