Quote of the day 24th March 2020

"From this evening I must give the British people a very simple instruction - you must stay at home. Because the critical thing we must do is stop the disease spreading between households." 

(PM Boris Johnson, address to the British nation, 8.30pm on Monday 23rd March 2020)

Comments

Gary Bullivant said…
This must give simple instruction was followed by four, or was it five, complicated opt outs. So not simple at all, not backed by legislation and unenforceable as presented. Following the Friday farce with an even bigger one on Monday suggests panic and/or incompetance. They do these things so much better in South Africa apparently.
Jim said…
The Prevention of Terrorism Act 2005 (repealed 2011) provided that suspected terrorists could be detained under house arrest without trial. This was repealed on the grounds that it was a breach of the Human Rights Act 1998.
Yes its against the human rights of a terrorist to be held under forced house arrest, but it seems not for everyone else. Advise is one thing, using legal force is quite another
Jim said…
I should have said suspected terrorist above, sorry
Chris Whiteside said…
Sorry, Jim, you know perfectly well that we're not living in a totalitarian society because if we were you and Gary would not have dared put up posts like that for fear of what might happen to you as a result.

And I wouldn't have dared (or been allowed) to leave them up.

Does the message need to be even clearer and better explained?

Yes, the details do it probably need more clarification, though I think the overall message is pretty clear.

Under normal circumstances, or if there were no good reason, directing people to stay in their homes in this manner would indeed be an outrageous breach of their rights.

These circumstances are not normal and the good reason is that if we do not do it the cost of that failure to act is likely to be measured in hundreds of thousands of lives.
Anonymous said…
Better late than never - but at what cost?
Jim said…
I would agree with 6ou, and did with government advise to keep hands clean, go out only when you have to or for exercise, and stay 2m apart. FINE. I went for a walk at emmerdale on sun, no one ever came within 10m of me, usually they were more than 100, le alone 2. The only place people were being idiots is supermarkets (ironically one of the few places we are still "allowed" to visit)

Advising people is great, updating advise as and where needed is also fine . But enforcing it using the police and threats of fines makes it a house arrest and a misuse of power.
Advise me to stay at home, shop as few times as I absolutely need to and only go out for some exercise, I would have done it. Enforce that using police and fines makes it house arrest.

I can see the need for the advise, but lock ups and cheering on forced lock ups. George Lucas pretty much nailed it. "This is how liberty dies, to thunderous applause"
Gary Bullivant said…
My comment wasn't about the rights and wrongs of Public Health measures but rather more about the selectivity of the quote itself. It looks decisive and statesman like when presented in isolation, so to speak but the reality of the intervention was vry different. It was not a simple direction and moreover it was unlawful (by which I mean not illegal but without force of law at the time he broadcast and at the time of publishing the quote).

Jim is right to draw attention to the Human Rights Act but I would stress a different clause in this regard. The Rule of Law (no punishment without legislation) was disregarded and diminished when Boris invoked the immediacy of his edict on Friday and again on Monday. Of course, one may believe that the SARS 2 virus and the COVID disease is such a great threat that the PM is right to deceive the resident population of UK (not synonymous with the British people by the way)into altering their behaviour. It's just that I don't, not least because the most important step on the road to totalitarianism is the first.
Chris Whiteside said…
For everyone who sees this as the first step to totalitarianism there is someone, like the author of the anonymous post above, who is saying "better late than never" or that the government should have gone further.

There are no right answers in this situation.

I personally think these measures are reasonable and proportionate given the scale of the threat.

In this situation - and I would certainly not apply this rule without limits - the ultimate test of whether the PM had the power to do what he has done is whether the majority of the British people accept that he had that power.

In terms of the quote above: I selected it for this blog because I thought it encapsulated the message of the previous night's speech.

If you don't agree with that, or think the line above is a selective quote, you are entitled to your opinion, but I don't think I am open to the charge of deliberately misrepresenting the speech since I published both a Youtube clip of the whole thing and a full transcript of the speech less than an hour and a half after it finished.


Don't think there was any deception in the speech either, because I think the police will do their best to enforce what was in it and enough people will accept both the authority of the government to make these orders and that of the police to enforce them, to make it workable.

Has the rule of law been damaged?

Too early to say.

There is actually a lot of precedent for British governments taking exceptional measures in exceptional times. I would always ask two questions,

"Is this disproportionate?"
"Is it setting a precedent which is likely to be abused?"

My answer to the first is, definitely not:
My answer to the second is "I don't think so, but it's right to ask the question."

At the end of the day, to the extent that we still have free speech, a free press and free elections, the public can and will hold Boris Johnson to account on how he handles this crisis.

I don't see anything in the measures which have been taken which interferes with the ability of the electorate to throw Boris out on his ear in 2024 if he abuses the extraordinary powers which, in these extraordinary times, most of us seem willing to grant him.
Gary Bullivant said…
I agree with the gist of your response above but my point/opinion remains. Boris bluffed on two counts: first the message was not simple as was apparent at the time and as subsequent uncertainties have confirmed and second there was and still is no legislation to empower the police to regulate it. Get the legislation done and next time he should do it properly.
Chris Whiteside said…
The bill has gone through the House of Commons and the House of Lords and will be law this week.

I imagine and hope we will indeed learn plenty of lessons from this and implement them before, as sadly may well happen, there is another pandemic. One of them might well be to start an enabling bill through the system before you expect to need the powers in it, but one of those lessons will not, in my humble opinion, be to wait until you have the necessary legislation through before announcing measures when the evidence suggests they have become essential to save lives.

Neither of us has any idea how many more people might have caught the disease in the intervening period if the UK government had waited another couple of days for the legislation to become law before announcing the lockdown or how many of those people would have died.

I am not an expert in these matters and may or may not be anywhere near the mark in my wild guess that the answers may well be "thousands" and "dozens" respectively, but I am absolutely convinced that if we did know the answer to the second question it would be a number which the majority of the British people would describe as "too many."
Gary Bullivant said…
Announce the measures by all means but don't pretend the police and licensing authorities can, should or will enforce legislation before it is enacted. Announce, Explain, Encourage, Cajole and create a supportive social climate (I think they call it nudge these days) but don't panic and don't pretend that the Human Rights Act has been suspended when it hasn't. Or declare a state of emergency, suspend the rule of law and create a temporary totalitarian state where dictats can be issued at evening press conferences for immediate effect. If it's that serious a crisis then everyone will understand and know where they stand, won't they?

BTW, I was pleased to see that police officers at the highest level have publically shared my initial opinion (not about Boris's bluffs but about legalities), not least because it was putting some of their junior officers in an invidious position vis a vis issuing unlawful fines and making arrests. I suspect that at the end of this episode there will be many things that will need to be done better next time and this should be one of them.

I will now read the legislation in the original...
http://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2020/7/pdfs/ukpga_20200007_en.pdf


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