Lockdown diary, day 33
Another beautiful day in West Cumbria
Another Sunday when we could not go to church, but did pray together at home.
There are signs from around the world that countries are passing the first peak of the disease but face difficult decisions on when and how fast to ease restrictions. Here is a graph from The Economist showing the seven day average of daily cases of COVID-19 per million inhabitants in sixteen countries around the world.
Note that the vertical axis scales are different on each of the four rows - a line the same height on the top row would indicate twice as many people infected per million people in the population as on the second row and almost an order of magnitude higher than on the bottom row.
I am posting this graph to show global trends, not because I think it has anything useful to say about how well or badly any country is doing: the demographic age structure, population density, methods of collecting, recording and publishing statistics, and probably other key variables which we don't yet even know are significant differ so greatly that comparisons are not reliable. What these graphs do show is in every one of these countries except France the seven-day rolling average cases per million has either started to drop or at the very least the growth rate showing signs of levelling off.
We are a very long way from being through even the first wave. But at least it has been shown that this virus is not invincible.
Keep well
Sta home; protect the NHS; save lives.
Another Sunday when we could not go to church, but did pray together at home.
There are signs from around the world that countries are passing the first peak of the disease but face difficult decisions on when and how fast to ease restrictions. Here is a graph from The Economist showing the seven day average of daily cases of COVID-19 per million inhabitants in sixteen countries around the world.
Note that the vertical axis scales are different on each of the four rows - a line the same height on the top row would indicate twice as many people infected per million people in the population as on the second row and almost an order of magnitude higher than on the bottom row.
I am posting this graph to show global trends, not because I think it has anything useful to say about how well or badly any country is doing: the demographic age structure, population density, methods of collecting, recording and publishing statistics, and probably other key variables which we don't yet even know are significant differ so greatly that comparisons are not reliable. What these graphs do show is in every one of these countries except France the seven-day rolling average cases per million has either started to drop or at the very least the growth rate showing signs of levelling off.
We are a very long way from being through even the first wave. But at least it has been shown that this virus is not invincible.
Keep well
Sta home; protect the NHS; save lives.
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