Tuesday, August 25, 2015

COMRES Opinion poll puts the Conservatives 14% ahead

Latest opinion poll result, from COMRES.

Conservatives 42%
Labour 28%
Lib/Dems 8%

Conservative lead 14%

OK, I know we've just been given good reason not to put too much faith in the polls at the moment, but I think the size of that drop in Labour support compared with the May 2015 election result and even allowing for methodology change is telling us something.

Specifically, it looks like I'm not the only person looking at the current shambles in the Labour party and thinking, if they can't even manage their own leadership election with anything remotely resembling competence or fairness, how on earth can anyone imagine they could run the country?


Earlier today there were versions of this poll result floating around giving Labour a 25% share and a Conservative lead of 17%, and this post was originally published quoting those figures.

I then noted that other people were quoting 28% for the Labour voting intention share and a 3% lower lead. I checked COMRES's own site and found at http://comres.co.uk/polls/august-2015-daily-mail-political-poll/ that the 28% and 17% figures are correct so I have amended the numbers in this post accordingly.

Apologies for any inconvenience.

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