Local Newspaper poll has Copeland "Too Close to call"

On Monday an ICM/Guardian poll gave the Conservatives nationally a six-point lead.

This came two days after a poll for the "News and Star" in Cumbria had the Conservatives and Labour neck and neck in Copeland with Conservative Stephen Haraldsen for Copeland and Ed Miliband's Labour candidate both on 26%.

I take this kind of poll with a bucketful of salt, but if the ICM poll this week which had the Conservatives with a six point lead is right, a very tight result in Copeland ...would not be beyond the bounds of possibility.

My instincts and the mood on the doorstep lead me to believe that the Mayoral poll could also be very close, especially when second preference votes come into play.

 

Comments

Jim said…
I dont think its too far away to be honest. well not nationally, and of course the national feeling does not indicate much in individual seats under FPTP. But i think its pretty much a pic of where we are.

UKIP are paying the price of "no policy, no manifesto, and farce"

Sure Labour sound good to some, but people are not stupid, they know in reality that labour would be a disaster for the UK, and sure we like to talk big, but when it comes down to it no one wants a miliband led government.

The lib dems suffered hard due to coalition and tuition fees, but they are holding steady.

i think that its not too far from the mood we see and hear around the country.

But I may be wrong (oh go on, I still want to get something major wrong, been hoping for it long enough)
5:36 pm
Jim said…
It would not surprise me one little bit to see Copeland "hung" the council has upset so many people that its pretty much inevitable a "change is needed" you will always get the "im voting red because mother would turn in her grave" arguments from some wards, but you can see it in the town. Hence Carla Arriggi and the Elected Mayor. there is a change happening in Copeland and I for one think that the days of a Labour led council are over.

Thats what happens when you get to complacent. "not invented here - no good"
6:43 pm
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