Friday, November 04, 2016

Tom Newton Dunn of the Sun on why a 2017 General Election is unlikely

Although the court ruling on article 50 was seen as a victory for opponents of Brexit and has slightly increased the chances of an early general election, it is still very likely that the government will be able to invoke article 50 - with the agreement of parliament if they need it, and unlikely that there will be an early election.

It has been suggested that ruling raised the chances of a 2017 election from 5% to 7.5%.

E.g. not very high.

Tom Newton Dunn, political editor of the Sun, has a good article today on

"Seven reasons why Theresa May will not call a general election in 2017."

His reasons are well argued and make sense.

When Theresa May says that she does not want an early general election, despite her huge lead in the polls, she means it.

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