Monday, January 09, 2017

First opinion poll of the year

Earlier on today ICM put out their first poll of the year, conducted for the Guardian.

Top line figures with changes from before Christmas are

CON 42%(+1),
LAB 28%(+1),
UKIP 12%(-2),
LDEM 9% (nc), 
GRN 4%(+1).

No significant change, in other words.

We've all learned to be careful about opinion polls but all of them have been producing results with the Conservatives on around 40% and Labour under 30% for the last six months so this probably gives a reasonable idea of where public support is at the moment.


Jim said...

Oh great, I want the blue party to dictate, or I want the red party to dictate or I want the Purple party to dictate.

its none nonsensical isn't it

Our six demands...
1. Recognition of our sovereignty:
The peoples of England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland comprise the ultimate authority of their nations and are the source of all political power. That fact shall be recognised by the Crown and the Governments of our nations, and our Parliaments and Assemblies;
2. Real local democracy:
The foundation of our democracy shall be the counties (or other local units as may be defined), which shall become constitutional bodies exercising under the control of their peoples all powers of legislation, taxation and administration not specifically granted by the people to the national government;
3. Separation of powers:
The executive shall be separated from the legislature. To that effect, prime ministers shall be elected by popular vote; they shall appoint their own ministers, with the approval of parliament, to assist in the exercise of such powers as may be granted to them by the sovereign people of England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland; no prime ministers or their ministers shall be members of parliament or any legislative assembly;
4. The people’s consent:
No law, treaty or government decision shall take effect without the consent of the majority of the people, by positive vote if so demanded, and that none shall continue to have effect when that consent is withdrawn by the majority of the people;
5. No taxation or spending without consent:
No tax, charge or levy shall be imposed, nor any public spending authorised, nor any sum borrowed by any national or local government except with the express approval the majority of the people, renewed annually on presentation of a budget which shall first have been approved by their respective legislatures;
6. A constitutional convention:
Parliament, once members of the executive are excluded, must host a constitutional convention to draw up a definitive codified constitution for the peoples of England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland. It shall recognise their sovereign status and their inherent, inalienable rights and which shall be subject to their approval.

Chris Whiteside said...

I don't actually want anyone to dictate, but expecting people interested in politics not to pay any attention to opinion polls would be like expecting sailors not to pay any attention to the weather forecast - even though the wise person does not take the accuracy of either completely for granted!