Thursday, June 08, 2017

Stephen Bush at the New Statesman on the election

Nobody knows what will happen today and if you care about the outcome the only way to make sure you do your best to get the one you want - or avoid the outcome you are most afraid of - is to vote.

I've been saying for weeks that the only poll that counts is the one on 8th June - well, that's today. If you want to have your say in the future of Britain, take part.

Lots of people have been claiming to speak for the people of Britain - when we count the votes tonight and into the early hours we will find out who really does.

One of the best articles I have seen over the past 48 hours about whether there is really a Labour "surge" was written by Stephen Bush at the New Statesman. His article is called

"Jeremy Corbyn's surge: is Labour's poll boost real?"

He thinks it is, but that essentially in this highly polarised election both the Conservatives and Labour will take a substantial part of the support which previously went to smaller parties, and both parties will probably get higher vote shares than in the 2015 general election. Stephen writes:

"One Labour organiser said that they had “gobbled up the Green vote like Pac-Man”. Several of their Conservative counterparts are predicting that at a local level, they and Labour will have a combined vote share in excess of 80 per cent of the vote. They are still expecting to win with an increased majority but for Labour to also gain votes."

Anything is still possible depending on who turns out, and where.

It could be a long night!

No comments: