Could a "No Deal" Brexit still happen and how would it work?"
It is obvious that a big majority of the House of Commons is strongly against a "No Deal" Brexit and the odds are that they will succeed in stopping it.
But to paraphrase Edmund Burke,
All that is necessary for the Triumph of 'No Deal' is for its opponents to continue to fail to agree on an alternative.
Britain will crash out without a deal if all the factions in the House of Commons continue to assume that someone else will compromise.
I don't think this is the most likely outcome, and I don't think it is the best way to implement the referendum decision, but it is what will happen if everyone continues to act the way they have acted up to now.
That is why those MPs who say that they regard a no deal Brexit as a terrible idea, say they want to Leave in some form, but voted against the Withdrawal Agreement which will still be necessary for whatever form of Brexit they do end up supporting, were utterly irresponsible.
While supporters of leave are becoming worried about the possibility of no Brexit - and are right to be - the EU and the government of Ireland in particular are worried about the possibility of a No Deal Brexit, and are right to be.
There is a very interesting article on the RTE website by Tony Connolly about what is going on between Ireland and the EU at the moment in terms of "No Deal" planning. which you can read here.
I find it worrying and extraordinary that the article suggests that the EU and the Irish government appear to m to think it is possible that the UK might accept an arrangement in which it taxes goods from the EU coming into Northern Ireland differently from those bound for the mainland. Anyone who has been following the problems the PM has been having getting the WA through out to realise there is not a cat in hell's chance of the House of Commons accepting that, or any other option which treats Northern Ireland differently from the rest of the UK.
I do think the article explains very clearly why "no-deal would hit Northern Ireland" and that this
"is why groups like Manufacturing NI, the Northern Ireland Retail Consortium, the Ulster Farmers Union and the Northern Ireland Food and Drink Association have all come out in favour of the Withdrawal Agreement."
But to paraphrase Edmund Burke,
All that is necessary for the Triumph of 'No Deal' is for its opponents to continue to fail to agree on an alternative.
Britain will crash out without a deal if all the factions in the House of Commons continue to assume that someone else will compromise.
I don't think this is the most likely outcome, and I don't think it is the best way to implement the referendum decision, but it is what will happen if everyone continues to act the way they have acted up to now.
That is why those MPs who say that they regard a no deal Brexit as a terrible idea, say they want to Leave in some form, but voted against the Withdrawal Agreement which will still be necessary for whatever form of Brexit they do end up supporting, were utterly irresponsible.
While supporters of leave are becoming worried about the possibility of no Brexit - and are right to be - the EU and the government of Ireland in particular are worried about the possibility of a No Deal Brexit, and are right to be.
There is a very interesting article on the RTE website by Tony Connolly about what is going on between Ireland and the EU at the moment in terms of "No Deal" planning. which you can read here.
I find it worrying and extraordinary that the article suggests that the EU and the Irish government appear to m to think it is possible that the UK might accept an arrangement in which it taxes goods from the EU coming into Northern Ireland differently from those bound for the mainland. Anyone who has been following the problems the PM has been having getting the WA through out to realise there is not a cat in hell's chance of the House of Commons accepting that, or any other option which treats Northern Ireland differently from the rest of the UK.
I do think the article explains very clearly why "no-deal would hit Northern Ireland" and that this
"is why groups like Manufacturing NI, the Northern Ireland Retail Consortium, the Ulster Farmers Union and the Northern Ireland Food and Drink Association have all come out in favour of the Withdrawal Agreement."
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