Polling news: Conservatives overtake Reform.

Like most recent polls, the one published today by "More in common" has the Conservative, Labour, and Reform UK parties fairly close together in terms of vote share and well ahead of any of the other parties.

As Luke Tryl of More In Common said, the changes seen are "margin of error" changes.

Nevertheless, the poll showed the highest Conservative vote share since January of this year, and Reform’s lowest in 18 months, and the Conservatives knocked Reform into third place. 






















Kemi Badenoch's Conservatives have been slowly but steadily gaining ground on Reform UK  for a while. No one poll, especially not one with a margin of error lead, is significant. But although one poll might not mean all that much, the trend does mean something.

Here is the corresponding seat projection.



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