Quote of the day 22nd November 2018

"People who assumed the world was simple and had simple solutions did badly; people who thought it was complex, who realised they could be wrong, and who learnt from mistakes did better. It also helped if you were good with numbers, and good at spotting patterns."

(Tom Chivers on how successful a group of experts and non-experts were on predicting the future in a study on forecasting ability, from an article called "Could you predict Brexit."

 Spoiler: the answer is "No.")  

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