Lockdown diary, day 46
Another beautiful sunny day here in Whtieahven.
Been trying to tidy the house, very pleased to hear that Household Waste recycling centres are going to open on 12th May (for essential use) because we are desperate to get rid of some of our rubbish.
Announcement due tomorrow on the exist strategy for the lockdown./
Will require the judgement of Solomon - very important to protect the economy, even more important to protect lives.
Most historical pandemics have had more than one wave. The second has often been the biggest killer.
Even if everything is done perfectly - and getting things perfectly right is not something of which any government is usually capable - there is a strong possibility that there will be another wave of COVID-19 attacks and getting the arrangements wrong to ease the lockdown could make it much more deadly.
We have lost more than 30,000 people so far, We will lose more. Get it wrong and it could be a lot more.
Every country has taken a hit to the economy - and as one of the world's great trading nations, most plugged into the badly disrupted world economy, Britain was never going to avoid a bad hit.
Every country remotely comparable to Britain has lost a lot of people.
Did it have to be this way? No, it was always going to be bad but it cold have been even worse.
I gather the slogan may have changed by tomorrow but this evening I am still signing off with
Keep well
Been trying to tidy the house, very pleased to hear that Household Waste recycling centres are going to open on 12th May (for essential use) because we are desperate to get rid of some of our rubbish.
Announcement due tomorrow on the exist strategy for the lockdown./
Will require the judgement of Solomon - very important to protect the economy, even more important to protect lives.
Most historical pandemics have had more than one wave. The second has often been the biggest killer.
Even if everything is done perfectly - and getting things perfectly right is not something of which any government is usually capable - there is a strong possibility that there will be another wave of COVID-19 attacks and getting the arrangements wrong to ease the lockdown could make it much more deadly.
We have lost more than 30,000 people so far, We will lose more. Get it wrong and it could be a lot more.
Every country has taken a hit to the economy - and as one of the world's great trading nations, most plugged into the badly disrupted world economy, Britain was never going to avoid a bad hit.
Every country remotely comparable to Britain has lost a lot of people.
Did it have to be this way? No, it was always going to be bad but it cold have been even worse.
I gather the slogan may have changed by tomorrow but this evening I am still signing off with
Keep well
Comments
There is growing evidence that SARS-CoV-2 spreads with "close and prolonged contact". Also that repeat exposures whilst pre symptomatic make the covid disease much worse. Its also been proven that in cases where a family member has contracted the disease, isolating the family member even after they become symptomatic has reduced infections to other family members, of those that do become infected the case is less severe than where the 1st cast was not removed. So all these people sitting outside in their family units are actually doing everything right to protect themselves (and the NHS), despite the wording from Hackney police.
It seems that being outside at safe distance is good, working outdoors is fine, in offices is not such a great plan as thats close and prolonged contact, shopping is a bit more dangerous, though its most dangerous for the shop staff. But by far the worst place is a covid hospital unit (for staff and patients with out the correct PPE, or indoors at home with an infected person.
They say Boris is to announce an easing of the current restrictions. though to be fair with the growing evidence on transmission the lockdown needs to be scrapped.
The timing near the 75th anniversary of VE day is quite fitting, would have been better though if Boris had released the restrictions on Friday.
Winston Churchill said "You can always count on the Americans to do the right thing - after they have tried everything else.” Its like he wrote that line for New York born Boris.
Yes the slogan may change, but at least its not likely to be on the side of a bus.
That something is test, trace, isolate. By isolate i mean in a recognised quarantine, not at home with the rest of your family.
As the evidence is mounting that its repeated close contact exposure that is the risk, we can see that restricting movements outside is pretty pointless. Where are people at risk? well, at home with an infected person, in a hospital with lots of infected people, on public transport where you have close contact prolonged contact with people, in an open plan office, where you have close prolonged contact with people. In a gym, at a cinema.
You are not really at risk walking though a park and passing within 2m of the odd person on a foot path.
I never did get the rational behind preventing people from walking around in the lakes, instead compacting the population of Cumbria to the costal towns. With any luck the new arrangements will be a bit more appropriate.
This should affect how we shop.
Also agree that it's not so much a case of scrap or ease the lockdown as can we improve it, reduce the restrictions which are less essential where it will help get the economy going again and save people's jobs but keep or even tighten the ones which are more important.
I see Sturgeon is determined not to do whatever is suggested, does not seem to matter what that is.