If the last election had been fought under another electoral system ...
There is an excellent post by "The Screaming Eagles" on Political Betting this morning in response to a suggestion that Tim Farron and Jeremy Corbyn are supposedly in talks for an arrangement to make a joint promise of electoral reform for the 2020 General Election.
Aside from the little matter that, as he points out,
"I’m astounded given Corbyn’s dire polling, why the Lib Dems (or anyone else) would want to form an alliance/understanding with a Jeremy Corbyn led Labour Party on any topic."
it is worth reminding ourselves what various election systems might have produced in 2015, an election in which the Conservatives and UKIP between them received about half the votes cast.
The electoral reform society who produced the numbers in the table below thinks that
* The AV system rejected by the people in a referendum in 2011 would have given the Conservatives a larger majority.
* Both STV and List PR would have meant that the nearest thing to a stable government would probably have been a Conservative and UKIP coalition.
I can see that it is rational for UKIP supporters to prefer that outcome to what happened, but would anyone else? Really?
Aside from the little matter that, as he points out,
"I’m astounded given Corbyn’s dire polling, why the Lib Dems (or anyone else) would want to form an alliance/understanding with a Jeremy Corbyn led Labour Party on any topic."
it is worth reminding ourselves what various election systems might have produced in 2015, an election in which the Conservatives and UKIP between them received about half the votes cast.
The electoral reform society who produced the numbers in the table below thinks that
* The AV system rejected by the people in a referendum in 2011 would have given the Conservatives a larger majority.
* Both STV and List PR would have meant that the nearest thing to a stable government would probably have been a Conservative and UKIP coalition.
I can see that it is rational for UKIP supporters to prefer that outcome to what happened, but would anyone else? Really?
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So what is the cure? well No prizes for guessing where this link leads