Sunday, January 03, 2016

Peter Kellner's predictions three years ago of where we would be today:

Hat tip to Stephen Tall for drawing my attention to the piece which Peter Kellner wrote three years ago speculating on where British politics would be at the start of 2016.

You can read it here.

He didn't get absolutely everything right but the piece did correctly predict that David Cameron would promise an EU referendum if he won the 2015 election, and that he would get a majority in that election, mainly by holding Con/Labour marginal and taking Con/Lib-Dem ones.


Perhaps he should give up running opinion polling companies and become a pundit: on this showing he's better at it than the journalists employed to make predictions are!

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