A further COVID-19 update
A further note comes from the government about the statement by Professor van Tam.
I thought I would add it to what I had already written on the subject but unfortunately managed to over-write what was already there.
I had made the point that over from the peak of the first wave in the spring the number of cases of COVD-19 and deaths had both fallen away dramatically over the summer, but over the last six weeks the number of new cases of COVID-10 in the UK has been consistently creeping up. Some of this may be due to more effective testing and affected by statistical quicks, but the overwhelming view among the medical and scientific experts experts is that the increase is real.
Other things being equal deaths would track infections with a lag of about a month, but mercifully so far the increase in cases over the past six weeks has not been matched by a corresponding increase in deaths.
The most likely explanation for that is that much of the recent spread of COVID-19 is among those who are not in vulnerable categories. Unfortunately, if that spread continues, it is almost bound to start to affect those who are in vulnerable categories/#.
This was the briefing note I received.
"The Deputy Chief Medical Officer has warned that people must continue to stay alert to control coronavirus – by washing your hands, covering your face and making space.